Over by Over Bowling analysis of T20 Cricket World Cup

In this post I will analyze the over-by-over performance of the bowlers in terms of runs conceded and wickets taken, in the just concluded T20 world-cup.
In the figure below blue traces are for First inning, and red colors for the second inning. Just before the end of the first power play average runs increase followed by a relatively calm period from 6-15 overs. In last 5 over average run rates tend to increase (expectedly). There is a very interesting difference between the first inning and second inning in terms of average runs. In first inning there are significantly more runs scored in 16-17th overs. This indicates that on average the team batting first should win. When I checked this, I found that in first 18 matches, 9 teams won while batting first. But very surprisingly, in last 9 matches of the tournament, seven times the team batting first won.




The probability of fall of a wicket steadily increased as the matche progressed. Again in second inning there was a significantly greater chance of fall of a wicket in 3rd and 9th over.

Previously I found that in Indian Premier League average runs per over were very strongly correlated with the probability of a wicket in that over and in subsequent over.